Is There Any Real Strategy To Roulette
Albert Einstein supposedly once said: “No one can win at roulette unless he steals money from the table while the croupier isn’t looking.”
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Although I wouldn’t normally question Einstein, this statement isn’t true. In fact, you can use Einstein’s specialist subject, physics, to help you win. Or you can find a biased wheel that makes some numbers more likely to come up.
What Einstein actually meant was that there is no mathematical trick that can help you win at roulette. Each spin is an independent trial and, in the long run, the casino will win. This is different to a game such as Blackjack where the probabilities change as cards are dealt.
But some believe that it is possible to exploit the way the roulette wheel, and the betting cloth, is laid out to give themselves an advantage. The idea is that you can make bets on the layout in a way that you are guaranteed to win. But is this really possible?
The real trick to roulette is to get lucky, then quit while you’re ahead. Every spin has a 1 in 37 (for European) or 1 in 38 (for American) chance of landing in a given pocket. Each spin is an individual trial with its own odds but, the longer you play, the more likely it is that you’ll fall into the probabilities that structure roulette. Know a bit about the martingale strategy. Probably the most common roulette strategy out there, the martingale relies on doubling bets after a loss in a 50/50 chance game. This way, the first win recoups all the previous losses, along with a small profit for the gambler. The advantage of this strategy is intuitive. To my knowledge, there is no other roulette strategy with such a good ratio between the potential or winning and the average cost. Please keep in mind that this strategy is just one of multiple strategies I have included in my roulette strategies article. When a winning roulette strategy is used correctly, bankroll management becomes less important because the approach becomes a relatively safe roulette strategy. Especially when you become impatient, or perhaps are driven by adrenaline, it is easy to dramatically increase the size of your bets to chase that big win.
Roulette wheel layout
Like a dartboard, the layout of a roulette wheel did not come about by accident. It was carefully planned and exhibits certain properties. In fact, there are two different layouts. An American wheel and a European wheel. The two layouts are shown below.
Notice that the American wheel has two zeroes. This is important as it doubles the advantage for the casino. On a European wheel you would expect to lose, in the long run, 2.7% of any money you bet with. On an American wheel you can expect to lose 5.26% (if you are interested in the mathematics of roulette, the video at the end will show you how these odds are calculated).
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The numbers are arranged in a different order on each wheel but there are some similarities in the patterns. On both wheels, the red and black numbers alternate around the wheel, although if you removed the zeroes, the American wheel would have consecutive reds and blacks. The wheels are also structured so that the low numbers (1-18) and the high numbers (19-36) should alternate as much as possible.
On a European wheel, this is only violated where the 5 sits next to the 10 (both low numbers). On the American wheel, there are many examples where this rule is violated. It is for this reason that the American wheel is considered not as balanced as the European wheel. Both wheels also try to distribute odd and even numbers as evenly as possible. But again there are a number of violations of this rule on both wheels.
On the European wheel there are two other interesting symmetries. First, all the low red numbers and black high numbers are on one side of the zero, and the high red numbers and low black numbers are on the other side. Second, the sequence 29-7-28-12-35-3-26-0-32 contains no numbers between 13 and 24 (the second dozen). You can place a bet on the whole of the second dozen, with odds of 2-1.
So, can we beat the maths?
A simple search on Google will return many (possibly millions) of systems for playing (and supposedly winning) roulette. Some easy, some complicated, some well described, some not so.
A system should really be a combination of a playing strategy and a money management strategy. Perhaps the best known money management strategy is the Martingale system. This system is guaranteed to win money as long as you have enough of a bankroll to double your bet after every loss and you do not hit the table limit, which you will quickly do so. The Martingale system is probably the quickest way to bankruptcy known to man.
Whatever betting strategy, and money management strategy, you choose, they all suffer from the same fate. Assuming that each number on the wheel has the same probability of being selected – meaning the wheel is not biased – the maths means the casino will always win. The system may look good, and may work in the short term, but when one of the numbers comes up that you have not bet on you will lose and the casino will move towards its win expectation (2.7% or 5.26%).
Some systems involve betting on many numbers, perhaps 20. In this case, you will win quite often as you are covering more than half of the numbers. But when one of the numbers does not turn up (and it will almost half the time) you lose all of the 20 bets you have made. This will often wipe out any wins to date.
Any system, so far devised, can be analysed to show that there is a win expectation for the casino. The following video shows the maths.
You might as well place a single chip on the same number every time and hope that it appears more than it should during the short time that you are playing.
We can dress up the layout of the wheel, the layout of the betting cloth, our number selection and our money management system however we like, but the maths is always there, quietly working against us. You might as well just have fun, pick random numbers and trust to Lady Luck. Either that, or do as Einstein suggested and steal chips (not that we’d recommend it).
Published Tuesday, Oct. 27, 2020, 1:34 pm
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(© lucadp – stock.adobe.com)Many books and articles have been written on how to win the roulette. There are some great strategies out there, but in order to win, you have to either play on an Online Live Casino or prefer a European roulette. However, the most important thing is to choose the best strategy for your wallet.
Play at a live casino
There are two types of online casinos the RNG Casino, where all games are played automatically without a dealer, and the Live Casino that you can play with a real dealer. When you play RNG, the results are random, and there is no one to throw the ball or draw a card. Everything happens with a click, so you can’t follow any strategy. If you want to make money, then you should play on a Live casino NetBet.
European roulette
The European roulette has more advantages for the player than the American one. The main difference is that the American one has the double zero (00), which automatically increases the casino advantage to 5.26%, compared to the 2.70% of the European.
Is There A Strategy To Win Roulette
The best strategy for you
There are many strategies for all kinds of budgets. What you must do first is to decide the amount you want to spend. If you keep spending and then rethinking and re-planning, there is a chance you may hurt your finances.
Beginners
First of all, choose the online casino that has many live roulette tables. Be patient and observe when one of them will create a series, for example, eight blacks in a row. If that happens, then bet on the opposite (i.e., red), and your bet will be doubled each time a red comes. It’s quite rare to get ten or more consecutive blacks in a row.
Martingale strategy
The Martingale strategy is the most played roulette strategy. Usually, winning is all about luck, but Martingale is quite effective, and players can use it to win. The player is required to double his bet after each loss until he reaches the first win that will return the losses and bring him a profit equal to his original bet. This can lead to incredibly high stakes if you lose in a few consecutive rounds, so you need to be prepared to stop when the stakes start to get too high for you.
Roulette strategy with a 64% chance of winning
This strategy can work only in the European Roulette. You must bet equally on two out of the three dozens of the roulette. The chance to win is 64%, which is high, considering that it’s a game based on luck. If you lose, you’ll need to stick to the following progress:
- 1 $ – 1 $
- 3 $ – 3 $
- 9 $ – 9 $
- 27 $ – 27 $
The chance of losing four consecutive spins is minimal, and that is why the 64% strategy is very effective.
The John Wayne strategy
This is a very useful and effective strategy that doesn’t need a lot of money. All you have to do is choose two random numbers from the middle column (e.g., 14 and 29), and you will bet € 1 on them. Also, bet € 1 in their corners, as shown in the image below. As you can see, we have bet only € 10, and we have covered 18 numbers (that is, half of the roulette).
There are three different results:
- Come 14 or 29 (according to our example). In this case, you win $72.
- Let any of: 11, 13, 15, 17, 26, 28, 30, or 32 come. In this case, you win $18.
- Let any of: 10, 12, 16, 18, 25, 27, 31, or 33 come. In this case, you win $1.
As you can see, the main idea is to have two bets on two prime numbers (14, 29) and the rest of the stakes to act as security. Losing $1 does not compare to the chance of winning $18 or $72. It’s a very simple strategy that we suggest you play with $100 initial capital to cope if you are incredibly unlucky.
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